Many people would be scared if they saw in the mirror, not their face, but their character.
Anonymous
Many people would be scared if they saw in the mirror, not their face, but their character.
Anonymous
The best kind of humans are the ones who stay.
R.M. Drake
Seorang tukang kayu membutuhkan waktu 4 menit untuk membelah kayu menjadi 4 bagian. Berapa waktu yang dibutuhkannya untuk membelah kayu tersebut menjadi 3 bagian?
8/3 menit.
Untuk membelah kayu menjadi 4 bagian, tukang kayu hanya membutuhkan 3 kali pembelahan. Setiap pembelahan memakan waktu 4/3 menit.
Untuk membelah kayu menjadi 3 bagian, tukang kayu hanya membutuhkan 2 kali pembelahan dengan waktu 2 x (4/3 menit) = 8/3 menit.
by Edward J. Gracely
Suppose Ms C dies and goes to hell, or to a place that seems like hell. The devil approaches and offers to play a game of chance. If she wins, she can go to heaven. If she loses, she will stay in hell forever; there is no second chance to play the game. If Ms C plays today, she has a 1/2 chance of winning. Tomorrow the probability will be 2/3. Then 3/4, 4/5, 5/6, etc., with no end to the series. Thus every passing day increases her chances of winning. At what point should she play the game?
The answer is not obvious; after any given number of days spent waiting, it will still be possible to improve her chances by waiting yet another day. And any increase in the probability of winning a game with infinite stakes has an infinite utility. For example, if she wait a year, her probability of winning the game would be approximately .997268; if she waits one more day, the probability would increase to .997275, a difference of only .000007. Yet, even .000007 multiplied by infinity is infinite.
On the other hand, it seems reasonable to suppose the cost of delaying for a day to be finite — a day’s more suffering in hell. So the infinite expected benefit from a delay will always exceed the cost.
This logic might suggest that Ms C should wait forever, but clearly such a strategy would be self defeating: why should she stay forever in a place in order to increase her chances of leaving it? So the question remains: what should Ms C do?
© Edward J. Gracely June 1988
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